Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis

-

 Nifty daily chart


Nifty 2 hour chart


Analysis

As seen in the daily chart, prices are moving in a lower high and lower low formation which is a negative sign. Also the short term moving average is negatively poised and it is now acting as a crucial resistance. After the Budget 2023-24, prices have come up and closed below the short term moving average 20 EMA (red). The moving average is now suggesting that the trend for the index is negative. Along with that RSI is also relieving from the oversold terrain.

From 2 hour chart, the index here to is facing the resistance of the moving averages of 50 SMA periods which is an indication that the bias is firmly negative not only on 2 hour chart but also on daily chart. As far as prices persists in the falling channel, the bias is negative for the index.

Wave theory suggests that, prices have opened wave iii lower of wave C of one higher degree. In this wave iii, it is extended where it has completed wave i and wave ii of wave iii and now it has unfolded  wave iii of wave iii which can go till 16600 levels which is 161.8% of wave i to wave ii of wave iii of iii.. If prices move above 18100 levels then the entire structure will be corrective and not impulse as shown.

The summation is Nifty will plunge towards 16600 over short term and over medium term it is likely to test 15500 levels as far as 18100 is intact on the upside.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

USDINR: Will it cross 83.00?

-
Image
 USDINR daily chart anticipated on May 6th 2023 USDINR daily chart happened on May 19th 2023 Analysis In my previous update I had mentioned for USDINR, " USDINR is expected to open positive possibilities once the level of 82.15 is taken out on the upside which can propel price towards 83.00 over short term and then any move above 83.00 will surge it towards 84.50-85.00 levels. However, any break below 81.40-81.00 levels will negate the upside view." There were cluster of supports near 81.40-81.00 levels and from there the pair has reversed thereby breaking 82.15 levels and made a high close to 83.00 levels - Anticipated Happened To view my previous article on USDINR, click on the below mentioned link https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/05/usdinr-at-multiple-supports-and-elliott.html As seen in the above daily chart, the pair has arrived near cluster of resistances which is also the consolidation zone formed from past 6-7 months. If prices move above this level whi
Read more

Nifty in Ending Diagonal Pattern?

-
Image
 Nifty Daily chart Analysis Nifty is currently exhibiting a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a positive trend. While there is no immediate sign of reversal, there are indications suggesting that the current upward momentum may be losing steam. According to the Elliott Wave theory, there are signals suggesting the formation of a distribution pattern, specifically an ending diagonal pattern. However, this pattern is still unfolding, with one leg remaining on the upside, potentially pushing the index to new all-time highs within the range of 22300-22400 levels. Once this leg concludes, there could be a reversal in the trend. In summary, Nifty is anticipated to climb further from its current levels and may reach a new all-time high in the range of 22300-22400. However, after reaching this peak, a reversal could occur, potentially leading the index down to the range of 18000-19000 levels. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  htt
Read more

GOLD and Elliott Wave Counts

-
Image
 Gold 4 hour chart Analysis As seen in the above chart, gold prices shot up after escalating geopolitical concerns. Gold prices are moving higher after making a low of $1800 levels and yesterday it closed well above $1930 levels and it is on the brink to cross its previous swing high, which will indicate that the trend is firmly positive. According to Wave theory, prices completed wave a at $1809 levels and has started moving higher in wave b which is also a corrective structure thereby forming a flat pattern, prices can move towards 80% (minimum) which comes to $2025-2030 levels and maximum it can go till 123.6%-138.2%. The summation is Gold prices can move higher going ahead and can test the level of $2025-2030 levels over short to medium term. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  https://twitter.com/meghmody? s=11&t=LtKvFYlMyQs71k-udwEPgQ
Read more