Bank Nifty Update

-

 Bank Nifty daily chart


Bank Nifty 2 hour chart


Analysis

As shown in the above daily chart, prices continue to face the resistance of 41600 levels where it was first taking support. At present, just like Nifty it is forming a rising wedge pattern which once complete will open negative possibilities. Please understand prices are in a downtrend as the rising channel pattern is broken thereby opening negative possibilities. ADX is also not picking up indicating that the recent upmove is weak.

From 120 mins chart, prices are moving in a very narrow range. So I have applied Bollinger Bands which also shows that it is narrowing and there is a high possibility for the breakout to emerge, which is above or below the bands. MACD is trend less as there is no clear signal maintained by the oscillator.

As per Elliott Wave theory, prices are moving in wave ii of wave c where wave c is still in making. It looks  to be ending diagonal pattern in wave c and once it is complete and prices break below 41280 levels (lower Bollinger Band) the index will then sink towards 35600-35400 price range.

An interesting observation is in Bank Nifty, esp in wave c of wave ii, the ongoing wave is taking more time then wave b of wave ii, surely hinting that upside is capped and downside is all open. Be cautious on the long side and maintain your stoploss. Once index starts shedding all the gains there will be bloodbath in the market.

The summation is Nifty Bank will falter towards 35600-35400 which I had mentioned earlier with resistance at 42700 levels.

If you want to read my previous article on Nifty Bank where I had mentioned these levels on the downside, click on the below link

https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/02/nifty-bank-elliott-wave-analysis.html

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

USDINR: Will it cross 83.00?

-
Image
 USDINR daily chart anticipated on May 6th 2023 USDINR daily chart happened on May 19th 2023 Analysis In my previous update I had mentioned for USDINR, " USDINR is expected to open positive possibilities once the level of 82.15 is taken out on the upside which can propel price towards 83.00 over short term and then any move above 83.00 will surge it towards 84.50-85.00 levels. However, any break below 81.40-81.00 levels will negate the upside view." There were cluster of supports near 81.40-81.00 levels and from there the pair has reversed thereby breaking 82.15 levels and made a high close to 83.00 levels - Anticipated Happened To view my previous article on USDINR, click on the below mentioned link https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/05/usdinr-at-multiple-supports-and-elliott.html As seen in the above daily chart, the pair has arrived near cluster of resistances which is also the consolidation zone formed from past 6-7 months. If prices move above this level whi
Read more

Nifty in Ending Diagonal Pattern?

-
Image
 Nifty Daily chart Analysis Nifty is currently exhibiting a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a positive trend. While there is no immediate sign of reversal, there are indications suggesting that the current upward momentum may be losing steam. According to the Elliott Wave theory, there are signals suggesting the formation of a distribution pattern, specifically an ending diagonal pattern. However, this pattern is still unfolding, with one leg remaining on the upside, potentially pushing the index to new all-time highs within the range of 22300-22400 levels. Once this leg concludes, there could be a reversal in the trend. In summary, Nifty is anticipated to climb further from its current levels and may reach a new all-time high in the range of 22300-22400. However, after reaching this peak, a reversal could occur, potentially leading the index down to the range of 18000-19000 levels. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  htt
Read more

GOLD and Elliott Wave Counts

-
Image
 Gold 4 hour chart Analysis As seen in the above chart, gold prices shot up after escalating geopolitical concerns. Gold prices are moving higher after making a low of $1800 levels and yesterday it closed well above $1930 levels and it is on the brink to cross its previous swing high, which will indicate that the trend is firmly positive. According to Wave theory, prices completed wave a at $1809 levels and has started moving higher in wave b which is also a corrective structure thereby forming a flat pattern, prices can move towards 80% (minimum) which comes to $2025-2030 levels and maximum it can go till 123.6%-138.2%. The summation is Gold prices can move higher going ahead and can test the level of $2025-2030 levels over short to medium term. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  https://twitter.com/meghmody? s=11&t=LtKvFYlMyQs71k-udwEPgQ
Read more