Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis
Nifty daily chart
Nifty hourly chart
In
my previous update, I had mentioned that, Nifty is expected to plunge till
11100. However, it made a low of 11185 and reversed which opens another
scenario of the market direction.
In
the daily chart, after marking low of 11185 last week, prices rebound from the
lows and closed higher at 11455 levels thus showing strength. There is no doubt
that short term trend has changed from negative to positive, but this can also
not be ruled out that the medium term trend continues to be negative. I think
it is likely for the index to test the rising trend line which was earlier
acting as a support and now a resistance. RSI holds the center line which gives
positive sign.
As
shown in hourly chart, prices surged by giving bullish trend line break and
also crossed its previous high (marked by horizontal black trend line) thus
opening positive possibilities. Also moving above its previous high
discontinues lower highs and lower lows. There is a possibility for prices to
test the support of the gap which can be utilized as a buying opportunity.
As
per Wave theory, from the top wave a has three wave structure and now wave b is
ongoing in which it has completed wave a. This means wave b on the lower side
followed by wave c higher is pending to complete wave b of one higher degree.
The
summation is Nifty can move down to test 11350 it can be utilized as a buying
opportunity with a support at 11290 and on the upside it
can test 11600-11620 price zone.
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