Nifty in an expanding triangle pattern ( Elliott Wave Analysis)

-
The recent bounce in Nifty was quite surprising for many traders especially after global markets were melting down on the back of speculation over rate hike by Fed and slow down in China. Nifty failed to move down further, finding support at the lower trend line placed at 7540 of the channel and marked a high of 8243 levels.

Currently the rally seems to exhaust as it is moving in a expanding triangle pattern. A triangle has five legs, each are corrective in nature (3-3-3-3-3). Today it started its fifth leg which can move above 8243 or can even fail to cross it. A triangle at the top indicates that the rally is over, as the entire upmove itself is corrective in nature (w-x-y).

Nifty needs to break the level of 8100 decisively for negative possibilities to open. The thrust of a triangle is always sharp and will retrace faster. The possibility for a trend reversal is likely in Nifty.

In short, a trend reversal in Nifty is expected only if prices move below 8100 at much faster pace. If so the possibility for the index to test the price zone of 7200-7500 is very much likely.

Nifty 60 mins chart:-


Disclaimer: Please do not circulate this report to Clients and others. The motive for this short term update was to make aware of various patterns and its implications and how it can be used for forecasting various asset classes. Do not trade on this update or take any positions based on the above mentioned view.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

USDINR: Will it cross 83.00?

-
Image
 USDINR daily chart anticipated on May 6th 2023 USDINR daily chart happened on May 19th 2023 Analysis In my previous update I had mentioned for USDINR, " USDINR is expected to open positive possibilities once the level of 82.15 is taken out on the upside which can propel price towards 83.00 over short term and then any move above 83.00 will surge it towards 84.50-85.00 levels. However, any break below 81.40-81.00 levels will negate the upside view." There were cluster of supports near 81.40-81.00 levels and from there the pair has reversed thereby breaking 82.15 levels and made a high close to 83.00 levels - Anticipated Happened To view my previous article on USDINR, click on the below mentioned link https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/05/usdinr-at-multiple-supports-and-elliott.html As seen in the above daily chart, the pair has arrived near cluster of resistances which is also the consolidation zone formed from past 6-7 months. If prices move above this level whi
Read more

Nifty in Ending Diagonal Pattern?

-
Image
 Nifty Daily chart Analysis Nifty is currently exhibiting a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a positive trend. While there is no immediate sign of reversal, there are indications suggesting that the current upward momentum may be losing steam. According to the Elliott Wave theory, there are signals suggesting the formation of a distribution pattern, specifically an ending diagonal pattern. However, this pattern is still unfolding, with one leg remaining on the upside, potentially pushing the index to new all-time highs within the range of 22300-22400 levels. Once this leg concludes, there could be a reversal in the trend. In summary, Nifty is anticipated to climb further from its current levels and may reach a new all-time high in the range of 22300-22400. However, after reaching this peak, a reversal could occur, potentially leading the index down to the range of 18000-19000 levels. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  htt
Read more

GOLD and Elliott Wave Counts

-
Image
 Gold 4 hour chart Analysis As seen in the above chart, gold prices shot up after escalating geopolitical concerns. Gold prices are moving higher after making a low of $1800 levels and yesterday it closed well above $1930 levels and it is on the brink to cross its previous swing high, which will indicate that the trend is firmly positive. According to Wave theory, prices completed wave a at $1809 levels and has started moving higher in wave b which is also a corrective structure thereby forming a flat pattern, prices can move towards 80% (minimum) which comes to $2025-2030 levels and maximum it can go till 123.6%-138.2%. The summation is Gold prices can move higher going ahead and can test the level of $2025-2030 levels over short to medium term. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  https://twitter.com/meghmody? s=11&t=LtKvFYlMyQs71k-udwEPgQ
Read more