DJIA (US): Elliott Wave Counts

-

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, also called the Industrial Average, the Dow Jones, the Dow Jones Industrial, the Dow 30, or simply the Dow, is a stock market index, and one of several indices created by Wall Street Journaleditor and Dow Jones & Company co-founder Charles Dow. The industrial average was first calculated on May 26, 1896.[1]Currently owned by S&P Dow Jones Indices, which is majority owned by McGraw-Hill Financial, it is the most notable of the Dow Averages, of which the first (non-industrial) was first published on February 16, 1885. The averages are named after Dow and one of his business associates, statistician Edward Jones. It is an index that shows how 30 large publicly owned companies based in the United States have traded during a standard trading session in the stock market.[3] It is the second oldest U.S. market index after the Dow Jones Transportation Average, which was also created by Dow.

The Industrial portion of the name is largely historical, as many of the modern 30 components have little or nothing to do with traditional heavy industry. The average is price-weighted, and to compensate for the effects of stock splits and other adjustments, it is currently a scaled average. The value of the Dow is not the actual average of the prices of its component stocks, but rather the sum of the component prices divided by a divisor, which changes whenever one of the component stocks has a stock split or stock dividend, so as to generate a consistent value for the index. Since the divisor is currently less than one, the value of the index is larger than the sum of the component prices.

From wave perspective, it is very clear that prices are moving in an upward sloping blue channel. After completing wave x in the month of November 2012, prices continued its upmove in triple correction pattern (a-b-c-x-a-b-c-x-a-b-c) where it completed wave y. Currently it is moving in wave x which is also corrective in nature. If we observe, the index has completed wave w and wave x of the current wave x and it seems that wave y of the current leg remain pending on downside. On Friday we have seen DJIA moving down by 140 points, it seems this fall may further extend and can test that support of the blue channel which is around 16100 levels.

In short, the bias remains negative for DJIA as it can move down and test the support zone of 16100 levels over short term.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Nifty in Ending Diagonal Pattern?

-
Image
 Nifty Daily chart Analysis Nifty is currently exhibiting a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a positive trend. While there is no immediate sign of reversal, there are indications suggesting that the current upward momentum may be losing steam. According to the Elliott Wave theory, there are signals suggesting the formation of a distribution pattern, specifically an ending diagonal pattern. However, this pattern is still unfolding, with one leg remaining on the upside, potentially pushing the index to new all-time highs within the range of 22300-22400 levels. Once this leg concludes, there could be a reversal in the trend. In summary, Nifty is anticipated to climb further from its current levels and may reach a new all-time high in the range of 22300-22400. However, after reaching this peak, a reversal could occur, potentially leading the index down to the range of 18000-19000 levels. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  htt
Read more

Gold Anticipated Happned

-
Image
 Gold anticipated on 14th Oct 2023 Gold happened on 28th Nov 2023 Analysis In my prior article, I noted that "Gold prices have the potential to climb higher and may reach the $2025-2030 range in the short to medium term." The yellow metal indeed surged towards $2150 levels, surpassing my projected range of $2025-2030 when it was initially trading at $1933 - the anticipated outcome. To read my previous article on Gold, click on the link below https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/10/gold-and-elliott-wave-counts.html Presently, prices are following a flat pattern, having completed wave a of wave b, and this wave b is identified as a flat. The next movement could reach a minimum of 80%, translating to $2090 levels, or it might extend to $2150 levels or beyond. Clear-cut indications point towards prices fluctuating within the $2100-2150 range. Currently, prices are recorded at $2053 levels. To sum up, Gold prices display a positive outlook and are expected to fluctuate
Read more

MCX Crude Oil - Reversal as per Elliott Wave Analysis

-
Image
 MCX Crude Oil 4 hour chart Analysis According to the presented chart, the price movement of crude oil shows a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a prevailing negative bias. Notably, there was a recent breach of the previous low following the Crude Oil inventories report, leading to a decline towards the 5787 levels. Despite this, there is a potential for a relief rally or a reversal to occur at the current levels. Examining the Waves perspective, Crude Oil exhibited a three-leg pattern (A-B-C), with wave C concluding at 161.8% of the distance from wave A to wave B, as illustrated in the chart. Within wave C, there are distinct markings of five waves, hinting at the imminent completion of the downtrend. In summary, it is suggested that MX Crude Oil could experience a relief rally or a reversal in the vicinity of these levels, with the potential to test the 7000 levels in the future . Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle
Read more