Nifty Elliott wave counts and its Target over short term

-

Nifty has given a break of an Ending Diagonal Pattern on Friday by closing below it s previous low thus shedding around 50 points. This suggest that down trend is on stealth and broader markets will now lose its charm.

Indicators like MACD is in a sell mode and is moving in sync with the index. Momentum Indicator RSI faced the resistance at 70 and lost its strength, supported by multiple of negative divergence thus indicating that upside is capped. ADX has turned from 40 and -DI has crossed +DI from below which suggests negativity. Nifty is currently below 20 EMA which changed the short term trend from bullish to bearish.

From wave perspective, in an Ending Diagonal pattern (Wedge) wave 4 will always enter in the territory of wave 1 which has happened in this case. Currently market has closed below its previous low which has not happened from past one month. The post pattern implication will be a 5 wave structure on downside and will retrace 50% faster of wave 4 of wave 5.

Small caps and mid caps has breached its previous support in last month and it moving lower by forming a lower high and lower low. Advance/Decline ratio continues to be worst, with advance at 649 and decline at 865.

In short, Nifty now will move lower and can test 50 SMA which is placed at 5900 and the lower trendline of the rising channel  over short term.

Comments

Phani Kumar said…
Hey, thanks for the information. your posts are informative and useful.
Large Caps
AGR Dues
PBM POLYTEX LTD
PRADEEP METALS LTD

16 August 2020 at 13:42
Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

USDINR: Will it cross 83.00?

-
Image
 USDINR daily chart anticipated on May 6th 2023 USDINR daily chart happened on May 19th 2023 Analysis In my previous update I had mentioned for USDINR, " USDINR is expected to open positive possibilities once the level of 82.15 is taken out on the upside which can propel price towards 83.00 over short term and then any move above 83.00 will surge it towards 84.50-85.00 levels. However, any break below 81.40-81.00 levels will negate the upside view." There were cluster of supports near 81.40-81.00 levels and from there the pair has reversed thereby breaking 82.15 levels and made a high close to 83.00 levels - Anticipated Happened To view my previous article on USDINR, click on the below mentioned link https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/05/usdinr-at-multiple-supports-and-elliott.html As seen in the above daily chart, the pair has arrived near cluster of resistances which is also the consolidation zone formed from past 6-7 months. If prices move above this level whi
Read more

Nifty in Ending Diagonal Pattern?

-
Image
 Nifty Daily chart Analysis Nifty is currently exhibiting a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a positive trend. While there is no immediate sign of reversal, there are indications suggesting that the current upward momentum may be losing steam. According to the Elliott Wave theory, there are signals suggesting the formation of a distribution pattern, specifically an ending diagonal pattern. However, this pattern is still unfolding, with one leg remaining on the upside, potentially pushing the index to new all-time highs within the range of 22300-22400 levels. Once this leg concludes, there could be a reversal in the trend. In summary, Nifty is anticipated to climb further from its current levels and may reach a new all-time high in the range of 22300-22400. However, after reaching this peak, a reversal could occur, potentially leading the index down to the range of 18000-19000 levels. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  htt
Read more

GOLD and Elliott Wave Counts

-
Image
 Gold 4 hour chart Analysis As seen in the above chart, gold prices shot up after escalating geopolitical concerns. Gold prices are moving higher after making a low of $1800 levels and yesterday it closed well above $1930 levels and it is on the brink to cross its previous swing high, which will indicate that the trend is firmly positive. According to Wave theory, prices completed wave a at $1809 levels and has started moving higher in wave b which is also a corrective structure thereby forming a flat pattern, prices can move towards 80% (minimum) which comes to $2025-2030 levels and maximum it can go till 123.6%-138.2%. The summation is Gold prices can move higher going ahead and can test the level of $2025-2030 levels over short to medium term. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter handle :  https://twitter.com/meghmody? s=11&t=LtKvFYlMyQs71k-udwEPgQ
Read more