CURRENCY PAIRS
USDINR
Prices faced the resistance of 76.4% retracement of
the previous downmove (57.10-52) and started to shedding gains as it failed to
move above that level. Dollar started to depreciate more against rupee when the
upward sloping channel was breached.
Prices completed ending diagonal pattern, a move
below 55.50 pulled the prices to lower
levels, thus activating bears. As per the wave perspective prices completed
wave v and next leg on the downside has
started. In forth coming sessions dollar will further depriciate and USDINR can
test 54.80 in coming sessions. Momentum indicator RSI has also changed its path
after touching 60.
In short, USDINR
will test its support of 54.80 in couple of trading sessions which will
appreciate INR.
EURINR
After a bull run for this currency pair, prices
failed to close above its preceding high, thus changing the sentiment of many
currency traders. Prices now will move
lower to test 70.50. Momentum Indicator RSI is in the territory of overbought
zone and can remain for a week or so.
Prices started to fall steeply, thus giving no opportunity for the
bulls to exit their position. Supply started to increase resulting
into sell off for this currency pair. Prices completed wave v around
72.50 and can now move lower as correction has started. RSI has moved down to
30 and can enter in over sold zone.
In short, it
is likely for EURINR to test 70.50 in next trading session. A rise in prices
will be an opportunity for those who
missed to sell this currency pair.
GBPINR
The currency failed to move above its previous high and
started to lose its strength. Prices are still above 88 which is a crucial
support for it to bounce back.
GBPINR made a high of 89.50
and failed to take a support at 89 which is the support of the lower trend line
of rising channel. Thereafter, prices started falling with no hope to bounce
back. Prices took a support of 88, a minor pull back is expected from the current
level which can be used for selling opportunity. From the wave perspective
majority of INR pairs have completed wave v.
In short, as
far as 88 is intact we expect GBPINR to bounce back to 88.50 level. However, we
are cautious if GBPINR breaches this level, pulling down prices to 87.50 level
JPYINR
JPYINR is
trendless as no movement has been seen for this currency pair from last two
months. Currency traders who want to
trade safe can utilize the range of this pair which is 66.70-68.10.
One can expect
a heavy consolidation happening in this currency pair, since the JPYINR is
hovering near its support JPYINR will move up in coming sessions to test 68
level. Momentum indicator RSI is at 30 and has bounced back earlier from this
level as well.
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